September 27, 2021 MLB and NFL Plays

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Yesterday’s MLB Recap

A bit of a mixed day all around in the MLB as the system finished with a record of 13-15 overall. On the bight side, 3-star plays both finished the day as winners as the Royals/Tigers only combined for 3 runs and the Giants/Rockies combined for 8, hitting the under in both games.

Not a whole lot to write home about. Yesterday’s MLB chart is watched below.

Yesterday’s NFL Recap

The NFL system performed a little bit better than the MLB system, but at the end of the day I was hoping for a bit of a better result.

The final record for the day was 16-11-1 which was great, but 3-star plays only finished 1-2 and were every close to falling to 0-3. The Saints/Patriots under hit, but the Lions and Ravens could not put the ball in the end zone so the over really never stood a chance, and the Raiders/Dolphins game ended up going to overtime and Las Vegas won by 3 when we needed them to cover 3.5.

Yesterday’s NFL chart is attached below.

Today’s analysis might be a little shorter because the MLB games are starting very shortly. Let’s get right into it.

MLB Predictions

Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians

Cal Quantrill is on the mound today for Cleveland and I think it is wise to keep riding the under when he gets the start.

So far this season Quantrill is 7-3 with an ERA of 2.82 and has been as solid as they come. Quantrill has pitched at least 6.2 innings in 5 of his last 6 starts, which has been a total of 41 innings, and has only given up 12 total runs. Furthermore, in his last start against this Royals team he surrendered 1 run in 6.2 innings and the final score ended 4-1 in favor of Cleveland.

The only thing standing in the way of the under today is Jackson Kowar (0-4 record, 11.46 ERA), who is the scheduled starter for Kansas City. Kowar has only pitched a total of 22 innings this season and has usually been lit up, but in his last start against the Indians he went 6 innings and gave up just 2 runs, which gives me a little bit more confidence going into this one.

Quantrill should once again hold Kansas City in check at the plate which will keep this total in the single digits. The under is also 2-1 in Quantrill’s last 3 starts and it is 3-0 in Kansas City’s last 3 games, so back the under again in this game.

System Predicts- Indians ML, UNDER 9.5

Washinton Nationals @ Colorado Rockies

I’m not a huge fan of the Rockies run line in this matchup which is why it is a 1-star play, but the over is looking like a good play today even though it is a high total.

Colorado and Washington rank 22nd and 23rd in the league when it comes to runs given up per game, with both teams giving up an average of 5 runs. The pitching is all over the place which is great for the over here, but the offenses for both squads have also been able to produce as they both rank inside the top 14 in runs scored per game and in the top 7 in hits per game.

Josiah Gray (1-2 record, 5.92 ERA) will start for Washington and he has given up at least 5 earned runs in 4 of his last 5 starts. Plus, in his last start against the Rockies a little more than 1 week ago the final score was 9-8 and the over hit with ease. German Marquez (12-10 record, 4.32 ERA) also started in that game and he gave up 6 runs in just 4 innings of work.

The offenses are both capable of putting up plenty of runs and the trends say that this game is going to see a high total with Gray and Marquez on the mound. I don’t know if we will see 17 runs again, but reaching 12 is definitely in the cards.

System Predicts- Rockies -1.5, OVER 11.5

MLB Parlay

Daily Parlay- Royals/Indians UNDER, Rockies/Nationals OVER

ODDS: +256

NFL Predictions

Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys

We have a classic NFC East battle on our hands tonight and I think Philly keeps this one close.

Coming into the season the defenses for both squads were highly questionable, but the Eagles’ have held their ground so far though 2 weeks. Philly is giving up the 5th fewest amount of yards per game with 297, is only surrendering 162.5 passing yards per game, and is ranked 3rd when it comes to points given up per game (11.5). They have played the Falcons and the 49ers which aren’t great offenses, but it looks like Philly has found their footing on that side of the ball and I think they hold up well tonight.

However, they do have to go up against a Cowboy’s offense that is averaging 449 yards per game, 306 of which have been through the air. There are weapons all over the place for the Cowboys on the offensive side of the ball, but as I mentioned before Philly still has one of best defensive lines in the league and have made upgrades in the secondary. There is no way Philly shuts down the Dallas offense, but they can definitely minimize the damage that is taken.

The biggest factor today is the Dallas defense and they are the biggest reason why I think Philly keeps this close and potentially wins. Dallas is giving up and absurd 432 yards per game and is giving up 346 passing yards per game, which ranks them 32nd overall. Jalen Hurts hasn’t thrown the ball deep that often through 2 weeks, but there will be plenty of opportunities for him to expose this defense tonight and I think he takes full advantage of it.

The under is 2-0 through 2 weeks for Philly and is 1-1 for Dallas, and I think the Birds contain the Dallas offense just enough to potentially win this game and have the under hit. This has the makings of a 24-21 game, with either team coming out on top but Philly covering either way.

System Predicts- Eagles +3.5, UNDER 51

Conclusion

That is all for today’s write up folks. It’s a little bit shorter because of the small slate, but the MLB games start soon so I want to get this out quick.

Let’s win some more money!

Jmack