October 3, 2021 NFL Plays

There are no MLB Plays today because it is the last regular season game of the year for every team and I felt the system needed a few small adjustments to be made before heading into the playoffs.

However, we do have the NFL Plays ready to go, but the analysis is going to be slightly shorter.

NFL Predictions

Tennessee Titans @ New York Jets

The fact that this game is getting 44 points sort of confuses me, but as we get closer to kick off I feel that this total is slowly going to move down so betting the under at 44 is a good deal.

The Titans are dealing with tons of injuries, including to their star receivers AJ Brown and Julio Jones. Derrick Henry is in the mix today so the offense isn’t in complete disarray, but given Ryan Tannehills’ struggles so far this season throwing the ball I don’t think we see the Titans put up a whole lot of points today.

The same applies to the Jets today, but mostly because they just stink. The offensive line gives Zach Wilson almost zero time to go through his progressions and make an easy pass, and he hasn’t exactly helped himself either. Wilson has already thrown 7 interceptions through 3 weeks and the Jets offense ranks 30th in total yards, 30th in passing yards, 29th in rushing yards, and 32nd in points scored per game with just 6.7 per game.

This game feels like it could end 21-3 in favor of Tennessee, so I agree with the system on both the under and the Titans cover today.

System Predicts- Titans -5.5, UNDER 44

Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles

This game is going to look similar to the Cowboys/Eagles game that happened on Monday night, where the teams combined to score 63 points.

Statistically speaking, the Eagles defense has not been that bad, ranking in the top 10 in fewest points allowed and fewest yards allowed per game, but Mahomes and the Chiefs should have no problems getting whatever they want today. KC is averaging 30.7 points per game through 3 weeks, and I bet we see them get up to at least 35 today.

However, the Kansas City defense is atrocious and Philly might be able to keep this game close because of it. The Chiefs defense is giving up 31.7 points per game and allowing 440.7 yards, both of which rank them 31st in the league. The Birds haven’t gotten much going on offense recently, but today is actually a great matchup for them and they will find the end zone.

Kansas City simply does not cover the spread anymore and is 0-3 against the spread through the first 3 weeks, which is why that is only a 1-star play. However, this game has shootout potential and I agree with the system on the over.

System Predicts- Chiefs -7, OVER 54

Arizona Cardinals @ LA Rams

These are probably the two best offenses at this point in the season and we should see points all over the place today.

This game is going to be very similar the Eagles/Chiefs game when it comes to scoring points, so the same logic can be used here. The Cardinals are ranked 1st in points scored per game with 35.5 and LA is ranked 3rd with 31.7, showing that both offenses have been tearing through the opposing defense.

Kyler Murray and Matthew Stafford have both been menaces when it comes to throwing the ball and I don’t expect anything to change today. This is going to be a shootout and I think the Rams win by a touchdown.

System Predicts- Rams -4, OVER 54

Conclusion

That is all I got for today. Let’s win some money and have a good end to the week!

Jmack