November 11, 2021 NBA Plays
Twitter and Action Network
Make sure to follow me on Twitter by hitting the button below. You’ll be able to see some of the other write ups that I do on a daily basis across the NBA and NHL.
Also, give me a follow on the Action Network App (@jacobmckenna99_) to see which bets I will personally be taking on a daily basis based on my models and other analysis. You will also find my write up and best bet for the Wild vs Golden Knights game tonight.
Now, lets get into today’s predictions
NBA Predictions
Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers
Philly is still rather banged up, whether it is from injuries or COVID-19. They put up a solid fight against Milwaukee on Monday with only seven guys, and tonight they get a slightly easier matchup against Toronto.
The system likes the Raptors to cover and the under, but I am a little more confident in the latter for this game.
Philly and Toronto are ranked 29th and 30th in Pace this season, which is a major indicator of how things will be played in this one. Toronto is on a back-to-back and the 76ers are still shorthanded. This has all of the makings of a grit and grind game that won’t see many points.
Since this will likely be a low scoring contest, it does make sense to back the Raptors here. In the past they have struggled with back-to-backs, but so far this season they are 4-1 against the spread on the road. I wouldn’t be surprised if they catch the 76ers off guard and even win this one outright.
Best Bets- Raptors +3, UNDER 210.5
Indiana Pacers @ Utah Jazz
I don’t like a whole lot about this game. The system is predicting the Pacers cover after losing to Denver last night, and the over will barely hit according to the model.
This game has a lot of risk, and not a whole lot of reward. I would avoid it.
Miami Heat @ LA Clippers
Jimmy Butler suffered an ankle injury last night against the Lakers. His potential absence could play a major factor in this game.
Miami and LA covering the spread on the road/at home has been a coin flip this season. On the road, Miami is 3-3 against the spread, and the Clippers have done the exact same thing on their home court as they are 3-3 ATS at the Staples Center.
The total for this game is in a similar spot. The under is 3-3 for Clippers at home this season, but is 4-2 when Miami is on the road. The over is also 2-1 for Miami after they suffer a loss, so the rends say that this game is likely heading for a high score.
If Butler ends up playing, I would back Miami to cover. If not, I would just avoid this game.
Best Bet- Miami +4 (only if Jimmy Butler plays)
Conclusion
That is all for today folks. Tonight we have a small slate of games that in my opinion does not provide much value because there are a lot of factors in play. I likely will not be betting any of these games, but I may take one of the plays that are predicted in the 76ers/Raptors game.
I have one NHL play in the Golden Knights/Wild game that is happening tonight. You can see that play and the analysis for it on the Action Network App (@jacobmckenna99_), as well as my Twitter.
Let’s win some money today!